https://www.metaculus.com/questions/30644/boxoffice/

掃描 ID：: b69db85b-6a45-439b-bdb8-45c2a5f2821a已完成
已提交的 URL：: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/30644/boxoffice/
報告完成時間：: 2024年12月2日 20:34:34
連結 · 找到 10 個

從頁面中識別的傳出連結
連結	Text
https://github.com/metaculus/metaculus	View on GitHub
https://apply.workable.com/metaculus	Careers
https://twitter.com/metaculus	Metaculus on Twitter
https://discord.gg/7GEKtpnVdJ	Metaculus on Discord
https://www.forbes.com/sites/erikbirkeneder/2020/06/01/do-crowdsourced-predictions-show-the-wisdom-of-humans/
https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/prediction-tools-can-save-lives-in-the-covid-19-crisis/
https://time.com/5848271/superforecasters-covid-19/
https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2020/4/8/21210193/coronavirus-forecasting-models-predictions
https://news.yale.edu/2016/11/02/metaculus-prediction-website-eye-science-and-technology
https://www.nature.com/news/the-power-of-prediction-markets-1.20820
JavaScript 變數 · 找到 28 個

在頁面的視窗物件上載入的全域 JavaScript 變數是在函數外部宣告的變數，可從目前範圍內程式碼中的任何位置存取
名稱	類型
onbeforetoggle	object
documentPictureInPicture	object
onscrollend	object
__next_f	object
_sentryDebugIds	object
_sentryDebugIdIdentifier	string
webpackChunk_N_E	object
_N_E	object
__SENTRY__	object
__sentryRewritesTunnelPath__	undefined
主控台記錄訊息 · 找到 1 條

記錄到 Web 主控台的訊息
類型	類別	記錄
error	network	URL https://www.metaculus.com/questions/30644/boxoffice/ Text Failed to load resource: the server responded with a status of 404 ()
HTML

頁面的原始 HTML 主體
<!DOCTYPE html><html lang="en" class="__variable_8739d9 __variable_8a3005 __variable_b3c778 __variable_3ba362 !pe-0 font-sans [scrollbar-gutter:stable] light" style="color-scheme: light;"><head><link rel="stylesheet" href="/_next/static/css/e2cc609fea3649ea.css" data-precedence="next"><link rel="stylesheet" href="/_next/static/css/370c410dfa9fe35a.css" data-precedence="next"><link rel="stylesheet" href="/_next/static/css/3165f3afc2fb5154.css" data-precedence="next"><style type="text/css">:root, :host {
  --fa-font-solid: normal 900 1em/1 "Font Awesome 6 Solid";
  --fa-font-regular: normal 400 1em/1 "Font Awesome 6 Regular";
  --fa-font-light: normal 300 1em/1 "Font Awesome 6 Light";
  --fa-font-thin: normal 100 1em/1 "Font Awesome 6 Thin";
  --fa-font-duotone: normal 900 1em/1 "Font Awesome 6 Duotone";
  --fa-font-sharp-solid: normal 900 1em/1 "Font Awesome 6 Sharp";
  --fa-font-sharp-regular: normal 400 1em/1 "Font Awesome 6 Sharp";
  --fa-font-sharp-light: normal 300 1em/1 "Font Awesome 6 Sharp";
  --fa-font-sharp-thin: normal 100 1em/1 "Font Awesome 6 Sharp";
  --fa-font-brands: normal 400 1em/1 "Font Awesome 6 Brands";
}

svg:not(:root).svg-inline--fa, svg:not(:host).svg-inline--fa {
  overflow: visible;
  box-sizing: content-box;
}

.svg-inline--fa {
  display: var(--fa-display, inline-block);
  height: 1em;
  overflow: visible;
  vertical-align: -0.125em;
}
.svg-inline--fa.fa-2xs {
  vertical-align: 0.1em;
}
.svg-inline--fa.fa-xs {
  vertical-align: 0em;
}
.svg-inline--fa.fa-sm {
  vertical-align: -0.0714285705em;
}
.svg-inline--fa.fa-lg {
  vertical-align: -0.2em;
}
.svg-inline--fa.fa-xl {
  vertical-align: -0.25em;
}
.svg-inline--fa.fa-2xl {
  vertical-align: -0.3125em;
}
.svg-inline--fa.fa-pull-left {
  margin-right: var(--fa-pull-margin, 0.3em);
  width: auto;
}
.svg-inline--fa.fa-pull-right {
  margin-left: var(--fa-pull-margin, 0.3em);
  width: auto;
}
.svg-inline--fa.fa-li {
  width: var(--fa-li-width, 2em);
  top: 0.25em;
}
.svg-inline--fa.fa-fw {
  width: var(--fa-fw-width, 1.25em);
}

.fa-layers svg.svg-inline--fa {
  bottom: 0;
  left: 0;
  margin: auto;
  position: absolute;
  right: 0;
  top: 0;
}

.fa-layers-counter, .fa-layers-text {
  display: inline-block;
  position: absolute;
  text-align: center;
}

.fa-layers {
  display: inline-block;
  height: 1em;
  position: relative;
  text-align: center;
  vertical-align: -0.125em;
  width: 1em;
}
.fa-layers svg.svg-inline--fa {
  -webkit-transform-origin: center center;
          transform-origin: center center;
}

.fa-layers-text {
  left: 50%;
  top: 50%;
  -webkit-transform: translate(-50%, -50%);
          transform: translate(-50%, -50%);
  -webkit-transform-origin: center center;
          transform-origin: center center;
}

.fa-layers-counter {
  background-color: var(--fa-counter-background-color, #ff253a);
  border-radius: var(--fa-counter-border-radius, 1em);
  box-sizing: border-box;
  color: var(--fa-inverse, #fff);
  line-height: var(--fa-counter-line-height, 1);
  max-width: var(--fa-counter-max-width, 5em);
  min-width: var(--fa-counter-min-width, 1.5em);
  overflow: hidden;
  padding: var(--fa-counter-padding, 0.25em 0.5em);
  right: var(--fa-right, 0);
  text-overflow: ellipsis;
  top: var(--fa-top, 0);
  -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-counter-scale, 0.25));
          transform: scale(var(--fa-counter-scale, 0.25));
  -webkit-transform-origin: top right;
          transform-origin: top right;
}

.fa-layers-bottom-right {
  bottom: var(--fa-bottom, 0);
  right: var(--fa-right, 0);
  top: auto;
  -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-layers-scale, 0.25));
          transform: scale(var(--fa-layers-scale, 0.25));
  -webkit-transform-origin: bottom right;
          transform-origin: bottom right;
}

.fa-layers-bottom-left {
  bottom: var(--fa-bottom, 0);
  left: var(--fa-left, 0);
  right: auto;
  top: auto;
  -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-layers-scale, 0.25));
          transform: scale(var(--fa-layers-scale, 0.25));
  -webkit-transform-origin: bottom left;
          transform-origin: bottom left;
}

.fa-layers-top-right {
  top: var(--fa-top, 0);
  right: var(--fa-right, 0);
  -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-layers-scale, 0.25));
          transform: scale(var(--fa-layers-scale, 0.25));
  -webkit-transform-origin: top right;
          transform-origin: top right;
}

.fa-layers-top-left {
  left: var(--fa-left, 0);
  right: auto;
  top: var(--fa-top, 0);
  -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-layers-scale, 0.25));
          transform: scale(var(--fa-layers-scale, 0.25));
  -webkit-transform-origin: top left;
          transform-origin: top left;
}

.fa-1x {
  font-size: 1em;
}

.fa-2x {
  font-size: 2em;
}

.fa-3x {
  font-size: 3em;
}

.fa-4x {
  font-size: 4em;
}

.fa-5x {
  font-size: 5em;
}

.fa-6x {
  font-size: 6em;
}

.fa-7x {
  font-size: 7em;
}

.fa-8x {
  font-size: 8em;
}

.fa-9x {
  font-size: 9em;
}

.fa-10x {
  font-size: 10em;
}

.fa-2xs {
  font-size: 0.625em;
  line-height: 0.1em;
  vertical-align: 0.225em;
}

.fa-xs {
  font-size: 0.75em;
  line-height: 0.0833333337em;
  vertical-align: 0.125em;
}

.fa-sm {
  font-size: 0.875em;
  line-height: 0.0714285718em;
  vertical-align: 0.0535714295em;
}

.fa-lg {
  font-size: 1.25em;
  line-height: 0.05em;
  vertical-align: -0.075em;
}

.fa-xl {
  font-size: 1.5em;
  line-height: 0.0416666682em;
  vertical-align: -0.125em;
}

.fa-2xl {
  font-size: 2em;
  line-height: 0.03125em;
  vertical-align: -0.1875em;
}

.fa-fw {
  text-align: center;
  width: 1.25em;
}

.fa-ul {
  list-style-type: none;
  margin-left: var(--fa-li-margin, 2.5em);
  padding-left: 0;
}
.fa-ul > li {
  position: relative;
}

.fa-li {
  left: calc(var(--fa-li-width, 2em) * -1);
  position: absolute;
  text-align: center;
  width: var(--fa-li-width, 2em);
  line-height: inherit;
}

.fa-border {
  border-color: var(--fa-border-color, #eee);
  border-radius: var(--fa-border-radius, 0.1em);
  border-style: var(--fa-border-style, solid);
  border-width: var(--fa-border-width, 0.08em);
  padding: var(--fa-border-padding, 0.2em 0.25em 0.15em);
}

.fa-pull-left {
  float: left;
  margin-right: var(--fa-pull-margin, 0.3em);
}

.fa-pull-right {
  float: right;
  margin-left: var(--fa-pull-margin, 0.3em);
}

.fa-beat {
  -webkit-animation-name: fa-beat;
          animation-name: fa-beat;
  -webkit-animation-delay: var(--fa-animation-delay, 0s);
          animation-delay: var(--fa-animation-delay, 0s);
  -webkit-animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
          animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
  -webkit-animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 1s);
          animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 1s);
  -webkit-animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
          animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
  -webkit-animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, ease-in-out);
          animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, ease-in-out);
}

.fa-bounce {
  -webkit-animation-name: fa-bounce;
          animation-name: fa-bounce;
  -webkit-animation-delay: var(--fa-animation-delay, 0s);
          animation-delay: var(--fa-animation-delay, 0s);
  -webkit-animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
          animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
  -webkit-animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 1s);
          animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 1s);
  -webkit-animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
          animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
  -webkit-animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, cubic-bezier(0.28, 0.84, 0.42, 1));
          animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, cubic-bezier(0.28, 0.84, 0.42, 1));
}

.fa-fade {
  -webkit-animation-name: fa-fade;
          animation-name: fa-fade;
  -webkit-animation-delay: var(--fa-animation-delay, 0s);
          animation-delay: var(--fa-animation-delay, 0s);
  -webkit-animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
          animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
  -webkit-animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 1s);
          animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 1s);
  -webkit-animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
          animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
  -webkit-animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, cubic-bezier(0.4, 0, 0.6, 1));
          animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, cubic-bezier(0.4, 0, 0.6, 1));
}

.fa-beat-fade {
  -webkit-animation-name: fa-beat-fade;
          animation-name: fa-beat-fade;
  -webkit-animation-delay: var(--fa-animation-delay, 0s);
          animation-delay: var(--fa-animation-delay, 0s);
  -webkit-animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
          animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
  -webkit-animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 1s);
          animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 1s);
  -webkit-animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
          animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
  -webkit-animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, cubic-bezier(0.4, 0, 0.6, 1));
          animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, cubic-bezier(0.4, 0, 0.6, 1));
}

.fa-flip {
  -webkit-animation-name: fa-flip;
          animation-name: fa-flip;
  -webkit-animation-delay: var(--fa-animation-delay, 0s);
          animation-delay: var(--fa-animation-delay, 0s);
  -webkit-animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
          animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
  -webkit-animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 1s);
          animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 1s);
  -webkit-animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
          animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
  -webkit-animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, ease-in-out);
          animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, ease-in-out);
}

.fa-shake {
  -webkit-animation-name: fa-shake;
          animation-name: fa-shake;
  -webkit-animation-delay: var(--fa-animation-delay, 0s);
          animation-delay: var(--fa-animation-delay, 0s);
  -webkit-animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
          animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
  -webkit-animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 1s);
          animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 1s);
  -webkit-animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
          animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
  -webkit-animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, linear);
          animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, linear);
}

.fa-spin {
  -webkit-animation-name: fa-spin;
          animation-name: fa-spin;
  -webkit-animation-delay: var(--fa-animation-delay, 0s);
          animation-delay: var(--fa-animation-delay, 0s);
  -webkit-animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
          animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
  -webkit-animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 2s);
          animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 2s);
  -webkit-animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
          animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
  -webkit-animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, linear);
          animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, linear);
}

.fa-spin-reverse {
  --fa-animation-direction: reverse;
}

.fa-pulse,
.fa-spin-pulse {
  -webkit-animation-name: fa-spin;
          animation-name: fa-spin;
  -webkit-animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
          animation-direction: var(--fa-animation-direction, normal);
  -webkit-animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 1s);
          animation-duration: var(--fa-animation-duration, 1s);
  -webkit-animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
          animation-iteration-count: var(--fa-animation-iteration-count, infinite);
  -webkit-animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, steps(8));
          animation-timing-function: var(--fa-animation-timing, steps(8));
}

@media (prefers-reduced-motion: reduce) {
  .fa-beat,
.fa-bounce,
.fa-fade,
.fa-beat-fade,
.fa-flip,
.fa-pulse,
.fa-shake,
.fa-spin,
.fa-spin-pulse {
    -webkit-animation-delay: -1ms;
            animation-delay: -1ms;
    -webkit-animation-duration: 1ms;
            animation-duration: 1ms;
    -webkit-animation-iteration-count: 1;
            animation-iteration-count: 1;
    -webkit-transition-delay: 0s;
            transition-delay: 0s;
    -webkit-transition-duration: 0s;
            transition-duration: 0s;
  }
}
@-webkit-keyframes fa-beat {
  0%, 90% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(1);
            transform: scale(1);
  }
  45% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-beat-scale, 1.25));
            transform: scale(var(--fa-beat-scale, 1.25));
  }
}
@keyframes fa-beat {
  0%, 90% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(1);
            transform: scale(1);
  }
  45% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-beat-scale, 1.25));
            transform: scale(var(--fa-beat-scale, 1.25));
  }
}
@-webkit-keyframes fa-bounce {
  0% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(0);
            transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(0);
  }
  10% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-bounce-start-scale-x, 1.1), var(--fa-bounce-start-scale-y, 0.9)) translateY(0);
            transform: scale(var(--fa-bounce-start-scale-x, 1.1), var(--fa-bounce-start-scale-y, 0.9)) translateY(0);
  }
  30% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-bounce-jump-scale-x, 0.9), var(--fa-bounce-jump-scale-y, 1.1)) translateY(var(--fa-bounce-height, -0.5em));
            transform: scale(var(--fa-bounce-jump-scale-x, 0.9), var(--fa-bounce-jump-scale-y, 1.1)) translateY(var(--fa-bounce-height, -0.5em));
  }
  50% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-bounce-land-scale-x, 1.05), var(--fa-bounce-land-scale-y, 0.95)) translateY(0);
            transform: scale(var(--fa-bounce-land-scale-x, 1.05), var(--fa-bounce-land-scale-y, 0.95)) translateY(0);
  }
  57% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(var(--fa-bounce-rebound, -0.125em));
            transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(var(--fa-bounce-rebound, -0.125em));
  }
  64% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(0);
            transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(0);
  }
  100% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(0);
            transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(0);
  }
}
@keyframes fa-bounce {
  0% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(0);
            transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(0);
  }
  10% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-bounce-start-scale-x, 1.1), var(--fa-bounce-start-scale-y, 0.9)) translateY(0);
            transform: scale(var(--fa-bounce-start-scale-x, 1.1), var(--fa-bounce-start-scale-y, 0.9)) translateY(0);
  }
  30% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-bounce-jump-scale-x, 0.9), var(--fa-bounce-jump-scale-y, 1.1)) translateY(var(--fa-bounce-height, -0.5em));
            transform: scale(var(--fa-bounce-jump-scale-x, 0.9), var(--fa-bounce-jump-scale-y, 1.1)) translateY(var(--fa-bounce-height, -0.5em));
  }
  50% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-bounce-land-scale-x, 1.05), var(--fa-bounce-land-scale-y, 0.95)) translateY(0);
            transform: scale(var(--fa-bounce-land-scale-x, 1.05), var(--fa-bounce-land-scale-y, 0.95)) translateY(0);
  }
  57% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(var(--fa-bounce-rebound, -0.125em));
            transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(var(--fa-bounce-rebound, -0.125em));
  }
  64% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(0);
            transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(0);
  }
  100% {
    -webkit-transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(0);
            transform: scale(1, 1) translateY(0);
  }
}
@-webkit-keyframes fa-fade {
  50% {
    opacity: var(--fa-fade-opacity, 0.4);
  }
}
@keyframes fa-fade {
  50% {
    opacity: var(--fa-fade-opacity, 0.4);
  }
}
@-webkit-keyframes fa-beat-fade {
  0%, 100% {
    opacity: var(--fa-beat-fade-opacity, 0.4);
    -webkit-transform: scale(1);
            transform: scale(1);
  }
  50% {
    opacity: 1;
    -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-beat-fade-scale, 1.125));
            transform: scale(var(--fa-beat-fade-scale, 1.125));
  }
}
@keyframes fa-beat-fade {
  0%, 100% {
    opacity: var(--fa-beat-fade-opacity, 0.4);
    -webkit-transform: scale(1);
            transform: scale(1);
  }
  50% {
    opacity: 1;
    -webkit-transform: scale(var(--fa-beat-fade-scale, 1.125));
            transform: scale(var(--fa-beat-fade-scale, 1.125));
  }
}
@-webkit-keyframes fa-flip {
  50% {
    -webkit-transform: rotate3d(var(--fa-flip-x, 0), var(--fa-flip-y, 1), var(--fa-flip-z, 0), var(--fa-flip-angle, -180deg));
            transform: rotate3d(var(--fa-flip-x, 0), var(--fa-flip-y, 1), var(--fa-flip-z, 0), var(--fa-flip-angle, -180deg));
  }
}
@keyframes fa-flip {
  50% {
    -webkit-transform: rotate3d(var(--fa-flip-x, 0), var(--fa-flip-y, 1), var(--fa-flip-z, 0), var(--fa-flip-angle, -180deg));
            transform: rotate3d(var(--fa-flip-x, 0), var(--fa-flip-y, 1), var(--fa-flip-z, 0), var(--fa-flip-angle, -180deg));
  }
}
@-webkit-keyframes fa-shake {
  0% {
    -webkit-transform: rotate(-15deg);
            transform: rotate(-15deg);
  }
  4% {
    -webkit-transform: rotate(15deg);
            transform: rotate(15deg);
  }
  8%, 24% {
    -webkit-transform: rotate(-18deg);
            transform: rotate(-18deg);
  }
  12%, 28% {
    -webkit-transform: rotate(18deg);
            transform: rotate(18deg);
  }
  16% {
    -webkit-transform: rotate(-22deg);
            transform: rotate(-22deg);
  }
  20% {
    -webkit-transform: rotate(22deg);
            transform: rotate(22deg);
  }
  32% {
    -webkit-transform: rotate(-12deg);
            transform: rotate(-12deg);
  }
  36% {
    -webkit-transform: rotate(12deg);
            transform: rotate(12deg);
  }
  40%, 100% {
    -webkit-transform: rotate(0deg);
            transform: rotate(0deg);
  }
}
@keyframes fa-shake {
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Metaculus Prediction\",\"questionSearchPlaceholder\":\"search questions...\",\"articlesSearchPlaceholder\":\"search articles...\",\"tagSearchPlaceholder\":\"search tags...\",\"search\":\"Search\",\"searchFilterType\":\"Type\",\"searchFilterForecastStatus\":\"Forecast Status\",\"searchFilterParticipation\":\"My Participation\",\"searchFilterOrderBy\":\"Order By\",\"searchOptionAll\":\"All\",\"searchOptionForecast\":\"Forecast\",\"searchOptionDiscussion\":\"Discussion\",\"searchOptionAllAccepted\":\"All Accepted\",\"searchOptionPending\":\"Pending\",\"searchOptionDeferred\":\"Deferred\",\"searchOptionUnmoderated\":\"Unmoderated\",\"searchOptionUpcoming\":\"Upcoming\",\"searchOptionOpen\":\"Open\",\"searchOptionClosed\":\"Closed\",\"searchOptionResolved\":\"Resolved\",\"searchOptionDraft\":\"Draft\",\"searchOptionAny\":\"Any\",\"searchOptionPredicted\":\"Predicted\",\"searchOptionNotPredicted\":\"Not 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build a track record\",\"registrationInfoAbility2\":\"Get notified when predictions that you care about change\",\"registrationInfoAbility3\":\"Join the discussion with other forecasters\",\"registrationInfoAbility4\":\"Create private questions to track personal predictions, and optionally share them with your friends\",\"registrationInfoAbility5\":\"Write new public questions that you want to see answered\",\"registrationFacebook\":\"Continue with Facebook\",\"registrationGoogle\":\"Continue with Google\",\"registrationByEmail\":\"Sign Up\",\"emptyOptionError\":\"option can't be empty\",\"errorRequired\":\"required field\",\"errorMinLength\":\"{field} must be at least {minLength} characters\",\"errorMaxLength\":\"{field} must be at most {maxLength} characters\",\"errorPasswordMatch\":\"passwords must match\",\"errorEmailInvalid\":\"not a valid email\",\"errorGeneric\":\"Error, something went wrong. Please check your connection and try again or contact us at [email protected]\",\"registrationUsernamePlaceholder\":\"choose a username\",\"passwordPlaceholder\":\"password\",\"registrationVerifyPasswordPlaceholder\":\"verify password\",\"registrationEmailPlaceholder\":\"email\",\"registrationSignInHeading\":\"Already have an account?\",\"loginSignUpHeading\":\"Don't have an account yet?\",\"createAnAccount\":\"Sign Up\",\"registrationSuccessHeading\":\"Activation Email Sent\",\"registrationSuccess1\":\"Thanks for creating a Metaculus account \u003cusername\u003e\u003c/username\u003e!\",\"registrationSuccess2\":\"An activation email has been sent to \u003cemail\u003e\u003c/email\u003e. Please follow the link inside to finish creating your account.\",\"registrationTerms\":\"By registering, you acknowledge and agree to Metaculus's \u003cterms\u003eTerms of Use\u003c/terms\u003e and \u003cprivacy\u003ePrivacy Policy\u003c/privacy\u003e.\",\"registrationTermsAgreement\":\"I agree — continue registration\",\"loginFacebook\":\"Log in with Facebook\",\"loginGoogle\":\"Log in with Google\",\"loginUsernamePlaceholder\":\"username or email\",\"forgotPasswordLink\":\"Forgot Password?\",\"passwordResetHeading\":\"Password Reset\",\"passwordResetDescription\":\"Enter your username and we'll send you an email to reset your password.\",\"resetPasswordButton\":\"Reset Password\",\"resetPasswordEmailSentHeading\":\"Password Reset Email Sent\",\"resetPasswordEmailSent1\":\"Your password reset request has been successfully processed.\",\"resetPasswordEmailSent2\":\"An email has been sent to the address on record for that account. Please follow the link inside to reset your password.\",\"newPasswordLabel\":\"new password\",\"verifyPasswordLabel\":\"verify password\",\"metaculusSupporterHeading\":\"Metaculus Supporter\",\"supporterSinceHeading\":\"Supporter Since\",\"changeUsernameHeading\":\"Change your username\",\"changeUsernameDescription\":\"You can change your username once every six months. 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Consider switching to \\\"Doesn't Repeat\\\"\",\"reminderNotePlaceholder\":\"Write yourself a note...\",\"reminderCPChangesDescription1\":\"Notify me when the forecast changes by more than 10%\",\"reminderCPChangesDescription2\":\"For continuous questions, this is measured by a \u003ca href=\\\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kolmogorov–Smirnov_test\\\"\u003eKolmogorov–Smirnov test\u003c/a\u003e.\",\"reminderDateDescription\":\"Notify me on\",\"reminderNewCommentsDescription1\":\"Notify me after \",\"reminderNewCommentsDescription2_one\":\"new comment\",\"reminderNewCommentsDescription2_few\":\"new comment\",\"reminderNewCommentsDescription2_other\":\"new comments\",\"reminderNewCommentsDescription2\":\"new comments\",\"reminderQResolutionDescription\":\"Notify me when this question needs resolution\",\"reminderPercentLifeDescription1\":\"Notify me when\",\"reminderPercentLifeDescription2\":\"% of the question lifetime has elapsed\",\"reminderPercentLifeCurrentValue\":\"This question is currently at {{percent}} % of its lifetime\",\"reminderTimeElapsedDescription\":\"Notify me in\",\"reminderTimeElapsedADay\":\"a day\",\"reminderTimeElapsedAWeek\":\"a week\",\"reminderTimeElapsedAMonth\":\"a month\",\"reminderTimeElapsedAYear\":\"a year\",\"reminderPercentLifetimeDescription\":\"Notify after x percent of question lifetime\",\"submitReminderButton\":\"Schedule\",\"reminderLabelNoRepeat\":\"Doesn't repeat\",\"reminderLabelRepeat\":\"Repeats\",\"reminderLabelDaily\":\"Daily\",\"reminderLabelWeekly\":\"Weekly\",\"reminderLabelMonthly\":\"Monthly\",\"reminderLabelAnnually\":\"Annually\",\"yourScheduledNotifications\":\"Your scheduled notifications for this question\",\"trackRecordNoUserPredictions\":\"None of your predictions have resolved yet! 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Follow your favorite communities to stay informed, and contribute to forecasts in areas that matter to you.\",\"introducingCommunitiesContact\":\"Want to create your own Community? \u003ccontact\u003eReach out\u003c/contact\u003e to get started.\",\"noOpenCommunityQuestions\":\"Your community currently does not have any questions open for forecasting\",\"noUpcomingCommunityQuestions\":\"Your community currently does not have any upcoming questions\",\"noClosedCommunityQuestions\":\"No closed questions yet\",\"noResolvedCommunityQuestions\":\"No questions resolved yet\",\"noReviewCommunityQuestions\":\"No questions in review yet\",\"noResults\":\"No results found\",\"noTags\":\"No tags found\",\"homeTitle\":\"Forecasting for a \u003chighlight\u003ecomplex world\u003c/highlight\u003e\",\"homeDescription\":\"Metaculus offers trustworthy forecasting and modeling infrastructure for forecasters, decision makers, and the public.\",\"forecastsSearchPlaceholder\":\"Search Metaculus\",\"focusAreasTitle\":\"Focus \u003chighlight\u003eAreas\u003c/highlight\u003e\",\"focusAreasDescription\":\"We create forecasts and advance research, decision making, and policy in four main topic areas.\",\"seeForecasts\":\"See Forecasts\",\"tournaments\":\"Tournaments\",\"joinTournaments\":\"Join our tournaments and predict real world events, timelines, and impacts and win prizes for accuracy.\",\"tournamentsHero1\":\"Help the global community model, understand, and navigate the world’s most important and complex challenges.\",\"tournamentsHero2\":\"Prove your forecasting abilities, support effective policy and decision-making, and win cash prizes.\",\"tournamentsHero3\":\"\u003cscores\u003eLearn\u003c/scores\u003e how tournaments are scored.\",\"tournamentsHero4\":\"\u003cemail\u003eReach out\u003c/email\u003e to discuss launching a tournament on what’s important to you.\",\"ActiveTournaments\":\"Active Tournaments\",\"Tournament\":\"Tournament\",\"QuestionSeries\":\"Question Series\",\"Archive\":\"Archive\",\"prizePool\":\"prize pool\",\"prize\":\"Prize\",\"percentPrize\":\"% Prize\",\"questionCount\":\"{count, plural, =1 {# Question} other {# Questions} }\",\"closesOn\":\"Closes \u003cstrong\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\",\"closedOn\":\"Closed \u003cstrong\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\",\"highestPrizePool\":\"Highest Prize Pool\",\"endingSoon\":\"Ending Soon\",\"changePasswordButton\":\"Change Password\",\"formerlyKnownAs\":\"Formerly Known As\",\"StartDate\":\"Start Date\",\"EndDate\":\"End Date\",\"SeriesContents\":\"Series Contents\",\"makePrediction\":\"Make a Prediction\",\"Title\":\"Title\",\"Access\":\"Access\",\"save\":\"Save\",\"saveChanges\":\"Save Changes\",\"Candidates\":\"Candidates\",\"followingCommunities\":\"Communities You’re Following\",\"allCommunities\":\"All communities\",\"otherCommunities\":\"Other communities\",\"browserAllCommunities\":\"Browse all communities\",\"communities\":\"Communities\",\"backTo\":\"Back to\",\"sendBackToDrafts\":\"Send back to Drafts\",\"approve\":\"Approve\",\"apply\":\"Apply\",\"postQuestionApproval\":\"Question Approval\",\"postNotebookApproval\":\"Notebook Approval\",\"postQuestionApprovalSubtitle\":\"Make any necessary adjustments to the general settings for each question in this section.\",\"postGroupOfQuestionsApprovalSubtitle\":\"Set the Open Time and CP Reveal Time for all subquestions. You can adjust these settings for individual questions later during editing.\",\"postNotebookApprovalSubtitle\":\"Are you sure you want to approve this notebook?\",\"questionApprovalSubtitle\":\"Make any necessary adjustments to the general settings for each question in this section.\",\"submitForReview\":\"Submit for review\",\"seeAllTournaments\":\"See All Tournaments\",\"seeAllForecasts\":\"See All Forecasts\",\"seeMorePosts\":\"See More Posts\",\"documentation\":\"documentation\",\"apiAcessText\":\"You may use an API token to access the Metaculus API, per our\",\"apiAccess\":\"API Access\",\"yourAPITokenIs\":\"Your API token is:\",\"about\":\"About\",\"api\":\"API\",\"otherInitiatives\":\"Other Initiatives\",\"forecasting\":\"Forecasting\",\"forecastingResources\":\"forecasting resources\",\"forjournalists\":\"Metaculus for Journalists\",\"careers\":\"Careers\",\"engageWith\":\"Engage with\",\"guidelines\":\"Guidelines\",\"privacyPolicy\":\"Privacy Policy\",\"termsOfUse\":\"Terms of Use\",\"faq\":\"FAQ\",\"contact\":\"Contact\",\"contactUs\":\"Contact Us\",\"thankYouForGettingInTouch\":\"Thank you for getting in touch. We’ll get back to you soon!\",\"yourEmail\":\"Your Email\",\"yourMessage\":\"Your message...\",\"news\":\"News\",\"newsMatch\":\"News Match\",\"create\":\"create\",\"login\":\"Login\",\"logout\":\"Logout\",\"admin\":\"Admin\",\"aboutMetaculus\":\"About Metaculus\",\"aboutMetaculusTitle\":\"\u003cblue\u003eAbout\u003c/blue\u003e Metaculus\",\"aboutMetaculusDescription\":\"Metaculus is an online forecasting platform and aggregation engine working to improve human reasoning and coordination on topics of global importance.\",\"more\":\"More\",\"moreLikely\":\"percentage points higher\",\"afterElection\":\"under {winner}\",\"ifCandidateElected\":\"if {candidate} elected\",\"electoralConsequences\":\"Electoral Consequences\",\"forJournalists\":\"For Journalists\",\"trackRecord\":\"Track Record\",\"medals\":\"Medals\",\"metaculusTrackRecord\":\"Metaculus Track Record\",\"trackRecordOutdatedMessage\":\"This track record does not yet use the new Baseline and Peer scores \u003clink\u003eintroduced in November 2023\u003c/link\u003e. Updating this page is one of our next priorities.\",\"trackRecordShowStatistics\":\"A Track Record shows some statistics about the predictor's performance.\",\"theJournal\":\"The Journal\",\"account\":\"Account\",\"settings\":\"Settings\",\"shortTitle\":\"Short Title\",\"boost\":\"Boost\",\"bury\":\"Bury\",\"duplicate\":\"Duplicate\",\"downloadCSV\":\"Download CSV\",\"partnersUseForecasts\":\"Our partners use Metaculus forecasts to gain insight into complex challenges and decisions.\",\"learnHowYouCanPartner\":\"Learn how you can partner with Metaculus to host a forecasting tournament, collaborate on forecasting research, hire our Pro Forecasters for custom projects, or set up a private forecasting space for your organization.\",\"workingWithNonProfits\":\"We love working with non-profits in our core focus areas. If you’re a non-profit seeking forecasting and modeling capacity or are interested in collaborating on a grant, please reach out!\",\"reachOutToLearnMore\":\"Please reach out to learn more about working with Metaculus or with any questions, comments or concerns. We’ll get back to you soon.\",\"feelFreeToJustSayHello\":\"Feel free to just say hello, too - we love hearing from the forecasting community!\",\"contentBoosted\":\"Content boosted! value {score} activity. Total boost score for the week: {score_total}\",\"contentBuried\":\"Content buried! value {score} activity. Total boost score for the week: {score_total}\",\"cpRevealTime\":\"CP Reveal Time\",\"openTime\":\"Open Time\",\"Question\":\"Question\",\"editOpenAndCpRevealTimes\":\"Edit Open \u0026 CP Reveal Times\",\"noQuestionsResolved\":\"No questions have resolved yet in this period.\",\"duration:\":\"Duration:\",\"timePeriod\":\"Time Period:\",\"inReviewBox1\":\"You are welcome to participate in our review process by voting and commenting on questions during their development.\",\"inReviewBox2\":\"Questions that achieve a positive vote balance will be prioritized for Admin review and approval.\",\"inReviewBox3\":\"Questions that receive a significant number of negative votes will be rejected by default.\",\"inReviewBox4\":\"Please refer to our \u003clink\u003eQuestion writing guidelines\u003c/link\u003e to learn what makes a good question.\",\"learnMoreAboutNewsMatch\":\"\u003clink\u003eLearn more\u003c/link\u003e about Metaculus NewsMatch\",\"learnMoreAboutQuestionWriting\":\"Learn more about question writing\",\"inReviewBoxTitle\":\"Participate in the review process\",\"userProfile\":\"{username}'s profile\",\"unknownUserProfile\":\"User's profile\",\"userMedals\":\"{username}'s medals\",\"unknownUserMedals\":\"User's medals\",\"noMedals\":\"No medals yet\",\"leaderboard\":\"Leaderboard\",\"openLeaderboard\":\"Open Leaderboard\",\"live\":\"Live\",\"liveLeaderboardDisclaimer\":\"This is a live leaderboard; rankings may change on a daily basis.\",\"legacyPeerDisclaimer\":\"The Peer Accuracy leaderboards used slightly different math before 2024. See details \u003clink\u003ehere\u003c/link\u003e.\",\"namesPrediction\":\"\u003cname\u003e{username}'s\u003c/name\u003e Prediction\",\"includeMyForecast\":\"include your latest forecast in this comment\",\"privateComment\":\"private comment\",\"groupVariable\":\"Group Variable\",\"showFullForecast\":\"...show full forecast\",\"closeFullForecast\":\"close full forecast\",\"noComments\":\"no comments\",\"overview\":\"Overview\",\"links\":\"links\",\"location\":\"location\",\"occupation\":\"occupation\",\"take\":\"Take\",\"confirmPageLeaveMessage\":\"Are you sure you want to leave this page?\",\"deletedAuthor\":\"deleted author\",\"myScore\":\"My Score\",\"peerScoreInfo\":\"Your \u003clink\u003ePeer Score\u003c/link\u003e on that question. If you see no score, then either the question has yet to resolve or you haven’t predicted it (or both!).\",\"spotPeerScoreInfo\":\"Your \u003clink\u003eSpot Peer Score\u003c/link\u003e on that question. If you see no score, then either the question has yet to resolve or you haven’t predicted it (or both!).\",\"scoringTerminology\":\"Scoring Terminology\",\"totalPeerScoreInfo\":\"The question-weighted sum of your \u003clink\u003ePeer Scores\u003c/link\u003e on all questions in the tournament (but only those that close before the end of the tournament).\",\"totalSpotPeerScoreInfo\":\"The question-weighted sum of your \u003clink\u003eSpot Peer Scores\u003c/link\u003e on all questions in the tournament (but only those that close before the end of the tournament).\",\"manualScoreInfo\":\"This is a manually updated Leaderbaord. Check details for how performance is measured.\",\"peerTakeInfo\":\"Your Take is the square of the question-weighted sum of your peer scores or 0 if your total score is negative.\",\"spotPeerTakeInfo\":\"Your Take is the square of the question-weighted sum of your spot peer scores or 0 if your total score is negative.\",\"relativeScoreInfo\":\"Your \u003clink\u003eRelative Score\u003c/link\u003e on that question. If you see no score, then either the question has yet to resolve or you haven’t predicted it (or both!).\",\"totalRelativeScoreInfo\":\"The question-weighted sum of your \u003clink\u003eRelative Scores\u003c/link\u003e on all questions in the tournament (but only those that close before the end of the tournament).\",\"relativeCoverageInfo\":\"The amount of the question or tournament that you covered.\",\"questionWeightInfo\":\"The weight of the question in the tournament. 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Questions that conform to our \u003clink1\u003eQuestion Writing Guidelines\u003c/link1\u003e, and concern one of our \u003clink2\u003ecore topics\u003c/link2\u003e, have better chances of being approved, and faster.\",\"inReviewStatusBox2\":\"All Metaculus users are encouraged to give feedback on questions during Review, and upvote the questions they find interesting and/or well written. Questions with a positive vote balance will receive priority attention from Administrators. Questions with a significantly negative vote balance will be rejected by default.\",\"inReviewStatusBox4\":\"Note that this question cannot be approved until both its parent and child have been approved.\",\"inCommunityReviewStatus1\":\"This question needs approval from a Community curator like you. 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